Showing posts with label MLB. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MLB. Show all posts

Matt Garza Teams Up With Ed Hickox to Throw No Hitter

In Major League Baseball, the official strikezone consists of pitches that are above the batter's knees, below the batter's shoulders, and over the plate. This zone is generally more constricted in reality, as umpires rarely call the "high strike", or a pitch between the shoulders and the chest. Some umpires have even more constricted strikezones, while others have their own very interesting quirks.


Ed Hickox has a very interesting strikezone. This zone tends to change throughout the game depending on the situation and allows pitches that are well off the outside corner to be called strikes. And as demonstrated tonight, his zone also widens when a pitcher is throwing a no-hitter.

In all fairness, Hickox did not demonstrate any major bias. He had a big zone to start the game and while it expanded throughout the game, it did not favor one pitcher over the other. And Matt Garza did pitch a hell of a game. I'm just not about to give the same level of credit to Garza as I would to the other pitchers who threw no-hitters this year: Ubaldo Jimenez, Dallas Braden, Roy Halladay, Armando Galarraga (oh wait...), and Edwin Jackson.

On a cheerier note, Matt Joyce led his team to a 5-0 victory with a grand slam. Nice to see that he's doing alright since being traded...

Yeah, the rest of this season could be pretty long.

For those who don't pay attention to baseball, Matt Garza threw a no-hitter for Tampa Bay against the Tigers tonight, leading Tampa to a 5-0 victory and Joyce, a former Tiger, hit a grand slam.

RIP 2010 Detroit Tigers Playoff Hopes

Magglio Ordonez has fractured his right ankle and will be out for 6-8 weeks, meaning that he'll return at some point in September. This is, in a nutshell, the end of the Tigers playoff hopes unless they manage to come up with a bat to fill the 3-spot in the lineup, which simply isn't going to happen, as the Tigers are already at a big disadvantage to Minnesota and Chicago with regards to their depth and schedule.


The only bright side here is that Ordonez's $15 million option will not be guaranteed as Ordonez will almost certainly fail to compile the necessary 135 starts or 540 plate appearances this season. As such, the Tigers still might re-sign him next season, but at a much reduced price that suits his age and injury history.

In other news, Carlos Guillen strained his right calf and is day-to-day. Also, the Tigers lost 3-2.

A Catastrophe of Unprecedented Magnitude

Brandon Inge, greatest baseball player in the world, will miss the next 4-6 weeks after suffering a non-displaced fracture to his left hand. Roland Emmerich has already agreed to make a movie based on the occurrence.

Detroit Tigers Player-by-Player First Half Reviews: Position Players

This is the final post of a three part series evaluating the first half for the Detroit Tigers. Past posts covered the starters and relievers. This setup differs from previous posts, as we will cover player summaries for each individual player, then grades by position, then a grade and summary on the whole.


Before beginning, I'd like to discuss the statistics that will be used during these evaluations. To start with, two traditional statistics, batting average and RBIs, will be flatly ignored. Instead, statistics such as on-base percentage (OBP), slugging percentage (Slg), and on base plus slugging percentage (OPS; favored over wOBA for the sake of familiarity) will be used in conjunction with cumulative statistics such as homeruns, stolen bases, and strikeouts. Also, the primary fielding statistic used will be the Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR), which discusses the runs that a fielder prevents or allows.

Another statistic used will be Wins Above Replacement (WAR), perhaps the best metric in baseball when discussing the skill of a player. For the uninitiated, Wins Above Replacement uses a number of hitting and fielding statistics, adjusts them based on the player's position and a couple other factors, and then produces a result that states how many wins a player is worth over the average bench player. For a starter in the Majors, the median is around 1.5. It should be noted, however, that WAR is a stat that is still rather imperfect, because it overly relies on fielding statistics, which are, in my opinion, good at differentiating between players on a relative basis, but are not good at giving absolute values from which to evaluate players. The result of these issues leads to odd flukes, such as Brandon Inge's 2006 season being rated as equal to Cabrera's season this year.

Note: WAR was not used for pitching because I feel it has several issues including number of datapoints (for relievers), its reliance on FIP (which I don't particularly like), and the park factor (a terrible stat in my opinion), which plays a bigger role in pitching WAR than hitting WAR.

Austin Jackson
Grade: B
WAR: 2.3
OPS: .757
UZR: 5.2 (Runs prevented as compared to a replacement player)

For a rookie, Austin Jackson has been phenomenal. His strengths thus far have been his ability to get on base (.354 OBP), as well as his speed (he has a team high 14 SB) which has been particularly useful when it comes to covering the Comerica Park's spacious outfield. On the other hand, he's had several deficiencies, including a lack of power (.403 Slg) and a propensity to strikeout (88 K in 313 AB). Furthermore, he has shown issues with judging balls off the wall, which has resulted in extra bases. Finally, he has gotten lucky offensively, sporting a .415 BABIP without hitting for power, suggesting that he will regress in the second half. So while Jackson has been great for a rookie, there is definite room for improvement.

Miguel Cabrera
Grade: A
WAR: 3.7
OPS: 1.074
UZR: -4.9

Cabrera has without a doubt been the best player on the Tigers this year. By pretty much every metric, he has been the best offensive player in the Majors this year, and he has a real shot at winning the Triple Crown. He has displayed the ability to get on base consistently (.423 OBP) and hit for power (.651 Slg.). His only problem hitting-wise is his tendency to hit a fair number of ground balls. This is not a terrible thing, as he hits pretty much everything on the ground very hard, but ground balls in general are more likely to cause outs than fly balls, especially as Cabrera is the opposite of fast on the basepaths.

The biggest issue with Cabrera this season has been his fielding. He is tied for the Major League lead in errors this year with 9 and has the lowest fielding percentage of any first baseman. Statistically, he ranks among the worst in the Majors in terms of UZR (meaning that he is highly detrimental to the defense), although it should be noted that he has suffered from a terrible defensive infield (Brandon Inge and Ramon Santiago excluded), an issue that is very problematic for first-basemen. Still, he has definitely been well below average defensively, which prevents him from earning and A+.

Brandon Inge
Grade: B-
WAR: 1.5
OPS: .754
UZR: 1.1

Inge's ranking was originally listed as a B. This was unintentional. His ranking has now been corrected to a B-.

Brandon Inge is having an interesting season. First of all, he's actually hitting fairly well. While his power is down (.411 Slg., 6 HR), he is getting on base at a higher rate than any other time in his career (.342 OBP). It is also good to see that he is drawing walks (36, which is well above average for him) and more importantly, staying healthy. It should be noted that Inge had an absolutely atrocious May and has been largely above average every other month of the year.

On the flip side, Inge has not been great fielding-wise this year. While the drop in his fielding statistics has a lot to do with the rest of the infield not playing well, it should be noted that he is not making as many plays as he has in years past. On the other hand, it may be that he is eating more balls because the poor play of Cabrera this year has led him to decide to be more cautious, as Cabrera has not been reliable when it comes to reeling in throws that are off target.

Johnny Damon
Grade: B
WAR: 1.4
OPS: .784
UZR: 1.4

Damon has been decent, but nothing too special this year. He has been somewhat streaky at the plate, but has put out decent offensive numbers. In his limited time in the field, he has not been very good, but has not been a liability either. His strength thus far this year has definitely been the ability to get on base, posting a .362 OBP. At the same time, his power has dropped, as he has hit only 6 homeruns thus far this year. Overall, the Damon signing has been something of a success this year, as the Tigers now have a decent DH for the first time in awhile, but Damon has been a little disappointing offensively, as he has underperformed as compared to the last couple years he had with the Yankees.

Magglio Ordonez
Grade: A-
WAR: 2.6
OPS: .867
UZR: 3.6

Ordonez has been an all around solid player for the Tigers this year. He has been great at getting on base (.385 OBP), hit for decent power (.485 Slg., 11 HR) and, surprisingly, he is having a very good year in the field, as he is doing a good job of covering Right Field and his arm is noticeably improved over last year. The only issue he's had this year is a tendency to hit ground balls, which is not something you want to see out of your three hitter. Overall though, he is having a very good season, which is a pleasant surprise, considering his struggles last season.

Brennan Boesch
Grade: A
WAR: 2.7
OPS: .990
UZR: -0.7

For a player that nobody had heard of before the season, Boesch has been incredible. He has hit for average and power and is also beginning to walk of late, as pitchers are now much more wary of him than they were early in the season. If it weren't for Boesch, the Tigers would probably not be in playoff contention, as Boesch has not only been a tremendous hitter, he has also been able to protect Cabrera in the lineup. The only weakness in Boesch's game thus far has been some inconsistency in the field. Boesch is probably the key to the Tigers season, as the Tigers need him to continue to hit well in the second half if they are going to win the division.

Carlos Guillen
Grade: B-
WAR: 0.6
OPS: .788
UZR: -3.7

Guillen has thus far been a mixed bag. On one hand, Guillen has been a pretty good hitter, with a decent record of getting on base (.345) and hitting for power (.443). This, however, doesn't completely make up for his terrible fielding. First of all, in his early play in left field, his fielding was analogous to Jonas Mouton's pass coverage. Actually, I'm pretty sure it was worse. In fact, Jonas Mouton would do better at fielding left field than Guillen. And Guillen hasn't been a whole lot better at Second base, where he has exhibited pretty much no range when going for ground balls. Overall, Guillen's decent hitting and terrible fielding is good for a C+.

Ramon Santiago
Grade: C+
WAR: 1.4
OPS: .674
UZR: 6.8

Santiago has basically been the opposite of Guillen this year. He has been below average from the plate and a terrific fielder. He has been decent at getting on base (.343 OBP) but has hit for no power (.332 Slg.). Meanwhile, his fielding has been very good, despite his 6 errors, as he has shown tremendous range at the shortstop position, which has partially compensated for Guillen's total lack of range. While his hitting has been poor, Santiago has done very well in his role, saving the Tigers' infield from being a disaster and getting on base.

Gerald Laird
Grade: E
WAR: -0.6
OPS: .524
UZR: -3.0

Laird has been completely and utterly awful this season. He has not gotten on base (.261 OBP) or hit for power (.263). His fielding has been rather poor as well, throwing out a mediocre 29.2% of base-stealers and a poor .991 fielding percentage. Being a black hole in a the lineup plus contributing nothing special in the field makes for a degree of worthlessness.

Alex Avila
Grade: C-
WAR: 0.6
OPS: .644
UZR: 1.0

The fact that Avila is not the regular starting catcher is mind-boggling. While he has been poor at the plate (.304 OBP, .340 Slg.), he has been excellent when it comes to throwing out base-stealers throwing out 12 of 29 (41.4%). He has not been good by any means, but he has not been nearly as terrible as Laird.

Ryan Raburn
Grade: D
WAR: -0.1
OPS: .637
UZR: -0.2

Raburn has been a below-average replacement player. He has not hit for average or power, or fielded particularly well. His only saving grace is his versatility, as he can play pretty much every position on the field (except catcher). Still, he has not performed nearly as well as he has in years previous, which is unfortunate, but cause for hope that he will turn it around in the second half.

Don Kelly
Grade: D+
WAR: 0.3
OPS: .529
UZR: 7.1

Don Kelly is a terrible batter that doesn't hit or walk. This is a major issue. On the other hand, Kelly has shown that he, like Raburn, is a versatile fielder. Furthermore, he, unlike Raburn, is a good defensive center fielder, which he gets credit for as he has needed to fill in for Austin Jackson on numerous occasions.

Scott Sizemore
Grade: E
WAR: -0.3
OPS: .586
UZR: -2.0

In his first stint in the Majors, Sizemore was awful at the plate (.298 OBP, .289 Slg.) and in the field (6 errors, .954 fielding pct.) and was subsequently sent down. The preliminary verdict on Sizemore is that he really needed more time in the Minors. Hopefully he'll be better next time he's called up.

Adam Everett
Grade: E
WAR: -0.4
OPS: .468
UZR: 0.3

Everett is the only Tigers' position player to play worse than Gerald Laird. I'm not going to bother going into the particulars; they're too depressing.

Danny Worth
Grade: C
WAR: 0.3
OPS: .672
UZR: 0.7

The verdict is still out on Worth. What we do know is that he's a decent fielding middle infielder who does not hit for a lot of power. He seems to be very similar to Ramon Santiago. The biggest concern with Worth is that he has not walked very much, accruing only 3 in 77 plate appearances, leading to a subpar .304 OBP.

Casper Wells
Grade: N/A

Casper Wells had a very brief stay on the Tigers, playing in only 4 games. This was not long enough to evaluate his performance, but I will say that my initial impression was favorable mainly because he is a) a decent fielder, b) fast, and c) he ran hard down to first every at-bat. But, as I say, there's not much to go on.

Catcher
Grade: D

The Tigers are platooning Gerald Laird, who cannot hit and isn't playing particularly well defensively this season, and Alex Avila, who hits only slightly better than Laird and is very good defensively. For some reason, Laird has gotten more playing time.

First Base
Grade: A

Miguel Cabrera has been excellent as the Tigers first baseman.

Second Base
Grade: C

Guillen, Worth, Santiago, and Sizemore have been decidedly average. Guillen can't field, Worth and Santiago aren't particularly good at hitting, and Sizemore was awful. As Raburn can also play second, at least there's no lack of replacements here.

Shortstop
Grade: C-

Santiago, Worth, and Everett have played here this year. At least Everett's gone, but this position could definitely use an upgrade.

Third Base
Grade: A+

I like Brandon Inge. In reality, this should be a B-, as Inge has played almost every game.

Outfield
Grade: A+

The Tigers have perhaps the best outfield in the Majors, with Jackson, Boesch, and Ordonez starting and Damon as a serviceable replacement.

Designated Hitter
Grade: B

Johnny Damon has basically locked down the DH spot. When he's out of the lineup, the Tigers can sub in Carlos Guillen (and by extension, get him off the field).

Overall
Grade: B-

The Tigers would have the best lineup in baseball if catchers didn't bat. That said, the offense is definitely one of the strengths of this team. In particular, the 3-4-5 hitters on the Tigers, Ordonez, Cabrera, and Boesch, are absolutely lethal. Furthermore, the Tigers are sixth in the Majors in OPS, which is emblematic of how the lineup is definitely a strength on this team. Unfortunately, the Tigers have not been particularly efficient, scoring only 401 runs, good for tying for 16th in the Majors. Furthermore, there are clear holes at shortstop and catcher that the Tigers probably won't be able to resolve via trades. Defensively, the Tigers have been awful, producing an abysmal .981 fielding percentage. This is a major issue when you consider that the starting pitching is not particularly great either and needs all the help it can get.

Overall, the Tigers position players have done pretty well this year. Offensively, the team has been quite good if a little inconsistent. While the defense has been bad, it has, at least, been improving, as Damon and Guillen are out of the outfield and Sizemore is no longer playing. That said, the position players absolutely must play better and more consistently in the second half if the Tigers are going to win the division, as the Tigers have the most difficult schedule of the teams competing in the Central.

Detroit Tigers Player-by-Player First Half Reviews: Relievers

This is Part 2 of a three part series reviewing the first half for the Detroit Tigers. Part 1 covered the starting pitchers. Part 3 will cover the position players.


The setup for this post will be the same as the last one; player summaries will come first, followed by a summary of the entire unit. So without further ado, a review of the Tigers bullpen through the first half of the season:

Eddie Bonine
Grade: B

Bonine has, by and large, been excellent for the Tigers as one of the two long relievers on the roster (the other being Brad Thomas). He has a 4-0 record with a 2.75 ERA in 28 appearances and 39 1/3 innings, all of which are very good stats. The problem is that Bonine is likely to regress, as he appears to have been rather lucky this year based on his .244 BABIP (batting average on balls hit in play), which is well below the MLB standard average of .300, which most pitchers (and batters, although they have more control over this) generally regress to. While Bonine's unusually low BABIP can be partially attributed to the improvement of his knuckle-curve, a contact pitch designed to produce groundouts, which he does do rather efficiently, it is likely that he has been the beneficiary of a fair amount of luck. This, combined with his relative lack of control (he has a subpar 1.29 K/BB ratio) and his propensity to give up homeruns (he leads Tigers relievers with 5 given up), is highly concerning and suggests that he will regress in the second half. As he has produced A-level results with C-level supporting statistics, he gets a B for his efforts thus far.

Joel Zumaya
Grade: A

Losing Zumaya for the season was a huge blow to the Tigers bullpen, as no reliever outside of Jose Valverde has been as good as him. Before his injury, Zumaya appeared to have excised his demons that have plagued him for most of his career. He had found his control, giving up only 11 walks in 38 1/3 innings, the first of which came over a month into the season, and had also reduced his propensity to give up homeruns, giving up only 1 all season. This led to a 2-1 record with a 2.58 ERA and 11 holds. He still leads the Tigers in the latter category. And as always, Zumaya struck out batters at a high clip, accruing 34 before his injury. This was shaping up to be the best season of his career and it is heartbreaking for it to have ended with yet another significant surgery, after which it will once again be an open question as to how he will perform.

Jose Valverde
Grade: A+

Jose Valverde has been perhaps the best reliever in baseball, converting 18 saves in 19 opportunities and posting a 0.95 ERA. He has been very good at striking people out (34 K in 38 innings), and kept runners off of the basepaths, producing a 0.84 WHIP.

There are a couple of pitfalls that should be noted with Valverde. First of all, he has a incredibly low .164 BABIP, a number that is sure to rise before the season ends. However, it should be noted that this very low BABIP is not wholly the result of luck. Valverde has a .278 BABIP on his career because of his excellent forkball* which produces a lot of ground balls. Furthermore, he has improved his ability to get groundballs considerably this year, producing an incredible 1.70 groundball to flyball ratio. All in all, he's due for a minor regression in the second half, but even then he will still be an elite closer.

*Valverde's forkball is often classified as a split-fingered fastball. I consider it to be a forkball because the ball is held rather deep between his index and middle fingers, along with its slightly reduced velocity and tremendous downward movement.

Brad Thomas
Grade: B

On paper, Thomas's numbers do not look especially good at the outset. He has a 4-0 record with a 4.10 ERA in 37 1/3 innings over 21 appearances. However, it should be noted that two of his worst appearances were spot starts for Dontrelle Willis, and if you only consider his relief appearances, his ERA drops to 3.51. Furthermore, it should be noted that Brad Thomas is a contact pitcher who heavily relies on a low-90s fastball to get groundouts, something that he is rather proficient at doing. This style of pitching is not necessarily conducive to long outings, as batters can adapt to it rather easily because the pitches themselves are not very good and only the best contact pitchers are able to spot their pitches well with a high degree of consistency. Thus, when batters recognize that a contact pitcher, particularly one that relies on pitches with little movement, is not dead-on with his location, they will take more pitches and wait for the pitcher to make a mistake. As Thomas is not an elite contact pitcher and often has days where he does not locate his pitches with absolute precision, it is sometimes necessary to restrict him to shorter outings so as to avoid the possibility of him getting lit up.

Now, when evaluating Thomas's relief appearances, particularly those appearances that took place after his rocky start to the season, he has largely been very good. However, it is very concerning that he has a 0.75 K/BB ratio, as well as his elevated 1.63 WHIP, two trends that suggest that he has been somewhat lucky this year. As such, he gets a B.

Phil Coke
Grade: A-

With Zumaya out for the year, Phil Coke figures to be the Tigers setup guy for the rest of the year. And that's not a bad thing. Coke has been quite impressive this year, going 5-0 with a 2.52 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 35 2/3 innings over a team-high 41 appearances. Even more impressive is that Coke has only given up 1 HR this season. The only complaints about Coke are a slight propensity to give up baserunners, as he has a 1.32 WHIP and a somewhat high 14 walks on the year. Even so, he has definitely been a solid reliever and thus he deserves an A-.

Ryan Perry
Grade: C-

Perry has not been good this year, producing a 2-4 record with a 5.47 ERA in 24 2/3 innings over 28 appearances. He has been the recipient of some bad luck, with an above average .324 BABIP and an average 0.77 groundball to flyball ratio. He also has a respectable 20 strikeouts in 24 2/3 innings, good for a 7.30 K/9 ratio. The problem with Perry is his lack of control. He has given up 14 walks on the year, good for a 5.56 BB/9 ratio and has a subpar 1.43 K/BB ratio. This has led to a 1.62 WHIP, which in turn, has led him to give up a lot of runs this year. Perry spent several weeks on the DL recently, and hopefully he'll be much improved after recuperating. However, his performance thus far has been subpar, hence a C-.

Fu-Te Ni
Grade: D+

Ni was an excellent reliever over the first two months of the season. Through May, he had a 2.12 ERA in 17 innings over 15 appearances. He also enjoyed increased responsibilities over last year, as he ceased to be used only as a situational lefty and was used in more general situations. He was also striking people out, accruing 18 over his 17 innings. The only downside to his performance was a disturbing 12 walks.

In June, he completely fell apart, giving up 13 runs in 6 innings over 7 appearances. Over this stretch he walked 7 and struck out 4. He was sent down on June 30th, after giving up 4 runs in 2/3 of an inning during an 11-4 loss to the Twins. After this stretch, his ERA had risen to 6.65. As such, he gets a D+.

Enrique Gonzalez
Grade: B+

Gonzalez has impressed in limited action thus far this season, accruing a 2.25 ERA in 12 innings over 8 appearances. He is a highly useful reliever to have on the team, as he is a former starter who can go deep into games. Unfortunately Gonzalez has exhibited some control issues, walking 5 and striking out only 4. However, thanks to his reasonably strong start, he gets a B+.

Robbie Weinhardt
Grade: N/A

Weinhardt has not played enough yet this season to form a real impression of him, giving up 1 run in 2 2/3 over 2 appearances. He shows a fair amount of potential and will hopefully play well in his time in the majors. He is currently competing for a spot on the roster, as he was called up to replace Galarraga, who will come back on July 20. On a somewhat amusing note, Weinhardt hit the first batter he faced in his Major League debut.

Daniel Scherleth
Grade: N/A

Scherlith is in basically the same boat as Weinhardt. He hasn't played enough to form an impression of him and he's competing for a spot on the roster. That said, Scherlith is more highly regarded as a prospect than Weinhardt and is likely to get a longer look.

Casey Fien
Grade: N/A

Fien has one appearance on the year, going 2 innings without giving up a run. He was called up to replace Joel Zumaya and sent back down when Perry came back. The Tigers likely hope that he will not need to be called up much this year before the 40-man roster comes into effect, as he was absolutely atrocious last year, posting a 7.94 ERA over 9 appearances.

Jay Sborz
Grade: E

Jay Sborz made his major league debut this season against the New York Mets. He lasted 2/3 innings, giving up 5 ER. He was sent back down two days later.

Alfredo Figaro
Grade: E

Figaro also has one appearance this year, in which he went 2/3 innings and gave up 2 ER. He was sent back down 2 days later for Casper Wells.

Overall
Grade: B+

The Tigers bullpen has definitely been a strength this year. Early in the season, the Tigers were able to keep pace with the Twins despite terrible starting pitching thanks to great play by the bullpen. Furthermore, the top relievers on the team: Valverde, Zumaya, and Coke, have been excellent.

On the other hand, it should be noted that there are a number of issues with the bullpen. Two of the top performers in the bullpen, Valverde and Bonine, have received a fair amount of luck. Also concerning is the poor performance of relievers like Perry and Ni. And then there's the Zumaya injury, which makes depth a major issue going forward. That all said, it is clear that the bullpen has been an integral part of the Tigers wins, especially when you consider that the Tigers have relied a lot on winning close games to get to where they are.

Detroit Tigers Player-by-Player First Half Reviews: Starting Pitchers

With their 12-9 win on Monday afternoon over the Baltimore Orioles, perhaps the second worst team of the decade (number one being the 2003 Detroit Tigers), the Tigers hold a record of 44-37 over the first 81 games of the year, meaning that we have hit the actual halfway mark in the Tigers season. This record is good for first place in the AL Central, 1/2 game over the Minnesota Twins.


As the Tigers have finished the first half of their season, I will be grading the first half performances of every player. This post is dedicated to the starting rotation. The next will cover relievers and the last will cover position players.

Note: I will not be using a number of advanced statistical performance measures during these reviews. For instance, I will not use the Fielding-Independent Pitching (FIP) statistic because, in my opinion, the assumption that hits should be treated as irrelevant is not a good one to use for pitchers, as a large proportion of Tigers pitchers give up hits at a higher clip because they are power pitchers who tend to locate their off-speed pitches poorly. As a result, they give up a fair number of hits and runs, but are able to lower their FIP by striking out a bunch of batters.

Justin Verlander
Grade: B+

Verlander has without a doubt been the best of the Tigers starters, producing a 10-5 record in 17 starts with a 3.85 ERA. He has 103 strikeouts and 37 walks in 110 innings pitched. He has generally been able to go deep into games, pitching 7+ innings 10 times and pitching fewer than 6 only five times. The problem with Verlander, as usual, was an atrocious start to the season. Verlander's first four appearances included a 1-1 record with a 6.95 ERA, a major problem as the bullpen was strained early on and having to regularly bail out the ace didn't help matters.

Jeremy Bonderman
Grade: C+

Bonderman has been highly inconsistent during the first half. This is not a terrible thing. After all, he has 8 quality starts in 15 starts, which makes him the only Tigers starter other than Verlander to produce a quality start over 50% of the time. The problem with Bonderman is that when he's not having a good start, he is often very, very bad. Even so, considering the rather low expectations that most Tigers fans had for Bonderman going into this season, considering his injury history, a 4-6 record with a 4.81 ERA over 15 starts isn't bad.

Max Scherzer
Grade: B-

Max Scherzer got off to a decent start, going 1-1 with a 2.63 ERA in his first four starts (he gave up quite a few preventable unearned runs that made his start look better on paper than it really was). Then, he had a string of four incredibly awful starts from April 28 through May 14 in which he went 0-3 with a 13.50 ERA, which led the Tigers to send him to the Minors for a couple weeks. Since coming back, however, he's been excellent, going 4-2 in 7 starts with a 2.62 ERA with 11.3 K/9, 3.29 K/BB, and a 1.12 WHIP (Walks and Hits per Innings Pitched). This adds up to a 5-6 record over 15 starts with a 4.88 ERA. Outside of his atrocious stretch from late April to mid-May, Scherzer has been at least as good as Verlander on a daily basis. However, when coming up with a grade for him, a string of starts bad enough to get sent down to the Minors has to be taken into account. That said, his future looks very bright for this season and beyond.

Rick Porcello
Grade: D-

If Jeremy Bonderman in the most inconsistent pitcher in our rotation, then Porcello is our most consistent pitcher. Unfortunately, he was consistently bad. In his 13 starts, he went 4-7 with a 6.14 ERA. He had a decent set of games in May, procuring 3 quality starts in 5 games, but has otherwise been simply bad. Really really bad. As in, Michigan's linebacking corp did better this past season than Rick Porcello is doing this year. Porcello's specific problems are major issues. He's had trouble controlling his pitches and his breaking balls have not bite to them. And he simply seemed to lack confidence on the mound. Porcello was sent down to Toledo in June and will hopefully get back to form and return to the rotation relatively soon, just as Scherzer did earlier this season. After all, his stuff is still excellent when he's on and he's got a lot of potential.

Armando Galarraga
Grade: A+

On May 16, Galarraga was called up to pitch against Boston to take over Max Scherzer's spot in the rotation while he worked in the Minors. He stayed in the Majors after Scherzer came back, as the Tigers chose to release Dontrelle Willis and keep Galarraga in the rotation. A couple days later, Galarraga pitched what should have been a perfect game, retiring 28 batters in a row, despite giving up a nominal infield single to Jason Donald because of because of perhaps the worst call in MLB history:



Since the near-perfect game, Galarraga has not been very impressive, producing only 1 quality start, which came against the Pirates, in five outings (of course, as I write this, he's pitching very well against Baltimore). In those five starts, he has gone 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and a worrying 0.60 K/BB ratio. Since these grades are supposed to cover the entire first half, Galarraga doesn't really deserve an A+. However, he does deserve a perfect game, so I figured I'd give him a compensation prize. It isn't much, but it's more than what Bud Selig gave him.

Dontrelle Willis
Grade: C-

Willis did not play well in his time at Detroit. Before this year, he played in a few games, showed no control, and spent most of his time on the DL for anxiety disorder. This year, he started in 8 games and produced a 1-2 record with a 4.98 ERA. He actually pitched fairly well in April, but fell apart in May. The biggest problem with Willis was that he never went deep into games. His longest outing lasted 6 innings, a feat he accomplished only 3 times, none of which happened outside of April. As such, when Scherzer was ready to come back from Toledo, the Tigers chose to release Willis and let Galarraga in the rotation. Willis was picked up by Arizona and released after a performing poorly in both the rotation and a relief appearance.

Andrew Oliver
Grade: C

Oliver was called up to replace Porcello while Porcello works out his issues in Toledo. He has gone 0-2 in his 3 starts with a 5.93 ERA. However, he also has 11 strikeouts in 13 2/3 innings, as well as 2 quality starts. And, when you look at his games individually, the overall stats do not seem as bad. Oliver had a solid first outing against the Mets, in which he gave up 2 runs in 6 innings and got the loss. In his second outing, he went up against the Twins and was the recipient of poor defense on the way to his second loss (although he was the cause of some of it). After his first two games, he had a 3.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts in 12 innings. His latest outing, which I attended, against the Orioles was terrible. He gave up 6 runs (5 earned) in 1 2/3 innings and his pitches had little movement and were not well located. Still, he's been decent and has done well enough for a temporary call-up from the Minors.

Overall
Grade: C

The rotation has not been good this year. While Verlander and Scherzer project well for the second half, definite questions remain for the bottom of the rotation. If this season is going to be a success, then Porcello needs to get it together and Bonderman and Galarraga need to be more consistent, or the Tigers will need to make an acquisition before the deadline. The problem is that the Tigers do not have a ton of prospects available to trade and there are also holes at catcher, the middle infield, and, thanks to the Zumaya injury, the bullpen that demand Dombrowski's attention and he cannot solve all of them.

On Jim Joyce and Blown Calls

In yesterday's Tigers game, as I'm sure all of you know by now, Armando Galarraga was robbed of a perfect game on an absolutely atrocious call by first base umpire Jim Joyce.


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I'm still trying not explode with anger and write this thing, but it's not going well.

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I haven't been this pissed about sports since the Michigan-Miami game.

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Actually, I may be more pissed about this. There have only been 20 perfect games in MLB history. It is probably the greatest feat in baseball, if not in all of sports, that can be accomplished by an individual.

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Alright, I'm going to try to keep the vitriol out of this.

First of all, I am going to give some credit to Jim Joyce (grudgingly, very grudgingly). He acted with a level of class that is incredibly uncommon for an umpire. After the game, he watched the replay, immediately admitted he was wrong, and personally apologized to both Galarraga and Leyland. He didn't equivocate nor attack any of the Tigers for their reaction. He even said that if he were Galarraga, he would have gotten in his face about it. Jim Joyce acted with integrity tonight and deserves to be commended for it. I am still extremely angry about the call and I think that Joyce should be subject to some major disciplinary action (because after all, you cannot screw up any worse than he did tonight), but I do respect him for doing what few, if any, other umpires would by manning up and admitting he was wrong.

This leads in to a greater point, namely the nature of umpiring. Umpires have two responsibilities. The first is to call a game correctly and impartially. The second is to maintain control of the game in order to ensure that the game runs smoothly and to ensure that it is as easy as possible to call a fair and impartial game. Now, umpires are human and make mistakes. However, in order to maintain control of the game, they have to stand by their mistakes. Whenever an umpire admits to being wrong, even after a game is finished, players around the league will be more likely to argue with the umpire on close calls, hoping to either get a reversal of the call (which almost never happens) or to get a favorable ruling for their team on the next close call (which arguably does happen). At any rate, these arguments disrupt the game and make it difficult for the umpire to call a game impartially. As such, umpires are forced to not only stand by their calls, but to eject players (or managers) who argue calls excessively, in order to deter others from doing so on close calls.

This, in turn, leads to how the MLB league office should respond to Jim Joyce's blown call. On one hand, the MLB never overturns judgment calls after the fact, because doing so serves to emasculate the umpire who made the call, as the league is publicly saying that the umpire's judgment is faulty. Furthermore, overturning a call is arguably a dangerous precedent, as it could theoretically lead to a series of overturned calls which would ultimately serve to undermine umpires in general. On the other hand, the umpire in question has admitted that he was wrong and overturning the call would have absolutely no conceivable change to the outcome of the game, as Galarraga got the next man to ground out anyway. Furthermore, as the entire baseball world is clearly aware that Galarraga was robbed of a perfect game, such a move would turn overwhelmingly negative publicity into somewhat positive publicity (or at least, less negative publicity). It would also serve to restore some faith in the league, especially on the heels of the Joe West debacle. As such, I am holding out some hope that the league will overturn the call and give Galarraga his perfect game.

Some Final Notes
  • I was highly impressed with Armando Galarraga's reaction to the blown call. He did not argue it on the field and he showed class when addressing the call after the game.
  • This is further evidence that the use of instant replay should be expanded in baseball. I have no problem with restricting the choice of whether to use instant replay to the umpires. I also believe that strikes and balls should not be reviewed because it would be impractical and would disproportionately favor the team that got the reviews because most MLB umpires have relatively consistent strike-zones and reversing certain calls but not others would typically benefit only one team. That said, there is no reason not to review calls on balls in play.
  • I'd be curious to see what the MLB will do with Joyce. I hope that they are at least smart enough to keep him from umping Detroit games for the rest of the year.

The MLB Rulebook is Dumb

Yesterday’s Tigers game was a showcase in hitting. We saw a plethora of homeruns and both starting pitchers knocked out in the third inning. The game settled down after the bullpens for both teams came into the game and the Tigers took a 7-6 lead into the top of the fifth.

Then it rained.

And rained.

And rained.

And the game was eventually postponed.

Enter this addendum to MLB Rule 4.12(a):

No game called because of a curfew (Rule 4.12(a)(1)), weather (Rule 4.12(a)(5)), a time limit (Rule 4.12(a)(2)) or with a tied score (Rule 4.12(a)(6)) shall be a suspended game unless it has progressed far enough to have been a regulation game pursuant to Rule 4.10(c). A game called pursuant to Rules 4.12(a)(3) or 4.12(a)(4) shall be a suspended game at any time after it starts.


And so, the record of the game was wiped.

From a practical standpoint, Rule 4.12(a) means that any game in which the lights break before 5 innings will be resumed at a later date, but any game in which it rains before 5 innings will not. It is mind-boggling that such a stupid, arbitrary clause was ever added to the rulebook. It is also idiotic that the game cannot simply be resumed if it is suspended in the middle of the game, particularly when one team is a) winning or b) has a clear advantage. As the Tigers were winning the game and have a much better bullpen than the Indians, it is infuriating to see everything that happened in the game be wiped out by such a nonsensical rule.

Greetings from Baseball Land...

After Michigan football, I probably care more about the Detroit Tigers than any other team. As such, I completely despise the unbearable monstrosity of a baseball team known as the Minnesota Twins. So I didn’t shed any tears when I heard that Joe Mauer had injured his heel and would miss either part or all of the ongoing Twins-Tigers three game series. Mauer’s replacement is Wilson Ramos, a 22 year-old catcher who is getting his first stint in the Major Leagues:








Words alone cannot express how much this sucks.

Merits of Championships Part 3: MLB

One of many traits that make Major League Baseball unique among major sports in the U.S. is its unparalleled focus on the regular season. Only eight teams out of 30 make the postseason, namely 26.7% of the league. The NFL allows 37.5% of teams to go to the postseason, while the NBA and NHL allow over 50% of teams to go to the postseason. College football allows 57.1% of teams to go to the postseason, although only two teams get to play for the championship. Of course, in college football, what happens during the regular season doesn’t determine the championship game as much as a bunch of idiots, partisans, and a few analysts who have to compare teams with wildly imbalanced schedules think. College basketball, baseball, and hockey actually invite comparable percentages of teams to their tournaments, but in all three cases, many teams have virtually zero chance of making the NCAA tournament without winning their conference regardless of their record. So, basically, in baseball, the regular season is paramount.

Another important trait of Major League Baseball (unlike collegiate baseball) is the parity in the sport. Ignoring the MLS and other leagues that nobody cares about, MLB is arguably the league with the greatest parity in American sports. A top team will often win 60% of its games. A bottom team will win 40% of the time. Contrast this with the NFL, where we’ve seen teams go both undefeated and winless this year, or the NBA, where we have the Cavaliers and the Nets this year. Hockey at least has comparable parity, although statistically, baseball teams are more even.

Now, as Major League Baseball has a low percentage of teams making the postseason and a high degree of parity, three things are necessary to make a good championship system. The first is a large number of games in the regular season to differentiate teams. As each team plays 162 games, this criteria is met. The other is to ensure that the system for selecting playoff teams will take only the best teams. This is not the case by a long shot. The third is to make sure that the playoffs themselves are fair and award the most deserving team, while being entertaining. This is probably accomplished as best as is possible.

To start with the actual playoffs, the system is to have two best-of-five series for each league, then a best-of-seven series for the league championship, then the best-of-seven World Series between the American League and National League. This format is pretty good, as only playing a best-of-five in the division series keeps the playoffs shorter, which is important as overdrawn playoffs make attention from fans fall off. Meanwhile, a best-of-seven is probably the longest you can make a series in which fans will follow each game, so having best-of-seven series are acceptable for the later series. The only real criticism I have for how MLB runs the playoffs themselves is that the scheduling is irritating, as there are too many days off which draws out the playoffs unnecessarily and screws over teams that win in a sweep, as they sometimes have to wait a full week to play again. Even so, the playoffs themselves are generally as exciting as one can hope while working to fairly award a championship.

The problem with baseball is that undeserving teams often make it to the playoffs. This decade, in 2003 (Twins over Mariners), 2005 (Padres over Phillies, Mets, and Marlins), 2006 (Cardinals over Phillies), 2007 (Cubs over Mets), 2008 (Dodgers over Mets), and 2009 (Twins over Rangers), a division winner has gotten into the playoffs over a team or teams with better records. This is completely ridiculous. The whole point of the regular season is to separate teams from each other and then reward the best teams with postseason berths. Instead, we get a system where more deserving teams are routinely passed over for other teams based on little more than geography. The reason for this system is to try to get a nationwide audience for the MLB playoffs, rather than determine a legitimate champion.

Overall, the MLB playoffs aren’t that bad. Part of its problems is that it goes on at the same time as the NFL and college football seasons, and thus tries to schedule around major football games, in order to boost ratings. On the other hand, you can also say that the MLB playoffs value ratings disproportionately to crowning a champion fairly. Of course, most leagues do this, but MLB is arguably the most blatant offender in professional sports. These complaints are rather small, however, when you look at the BCS (and possibly the NCAA Basketball Tournament, should those who hate America expand it to 96 teams).

Part 1 and Part 2 for those interested.

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