FIFA 2010 Group C Advancement Scenarios
This is a comprehensive list of the ways that every team in Group C can advance, for those interested (Tie-breaking procedures can be found here):
United States
Defeat Algeria.
Tie Algeria and Slovenia defeats England.
Tie Algeria and Slovenia draws with England with each team scoring fewer than two more goals than the United States scores in the Algeria game.
Tie Algeria and Slovenia draws England with each team scoring two more goals that the United States scores in the Algeria game and the US survives the random drawing of lots against England.
Slovenia
Defeat England.
Tie England.
Lose to England and Algeria draws with the United States.
Lose to England by one goal and Algeria beats the United States by one goal.
England
Defeat Slovenia.
Tie Slovenia and Algeria draws with the United States and England scores more than two more goals against Slovenia than the United States scores against Algeria.
Tie Slovenia and Algeria draws with the United States and England scores two more goals against Slovenia than the United States scores against Algeria and England survives the random drawing of lots against the United States.
Algeria
Defeat the United States and Slovenia defeats England.
Defeat the United States and Slovenia draws with England.
Defeat the United States by a margin greater than one goal and England defeats Slovenia.
Defeat the United States by a margin of one goal and England defeats Slovenia by a margin greater than one goal.
Summary
Slovenia has perhaps the easiest path to advancing, as they merely need to tie England to advance and could still advance even if they lose. However, despite England's rather lackluster performance thus far, they are probably the best team in the group and drawing with them will be highly difficult, let alone winning. The United States' chances of advancing are also fairly strong, as Algeria is the worst team in the group and should the United States tie England in the standings, they will likely hold the tiebreaker, having scored two more goals thus far. Meanwhile, England almost certainly must defeat a reasonably strong team in Slovenia to advance and Algeria needs to win by more than one or win and hope that Slovenia and England achieve a favorable result.
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